Walter Hart, Mukuru weGlobal Olefins kuS&P Global Energy CERA, akataura paWorld Petrochemical Conference kuti kuvharwa kweStrait of Hormuz zvizere kuchakanganisa zvakanyanya varimi vemafuta epetrochemical vekuAsia. Zvikwekwe zvesteam kuMiddle East zvichamanikidzwa kuvharwa, ukuwo mamwe mafekitori ekuAsia achizoderedza mashandiro nekuda kwekushomeka kwezvekudya.Kugadzirwa kwe ethylene pasi rose muna 2026 kunotarisirwa kudzikira nematani angangoita mamiriyoni makumi maviri nemaviri, yakaenzana ne12% yezvakabuda muna 2025.
Kusawirirana kwemauto muGulf kwakanganisa kuburitswa kwemafuta epetrochemical. Matani angangoita mamiriyoni makumi maviri nemapfumbamwe e ethylene pagore munharaunda yeGulf haasi kushanda, nekuvharwa kwakazara muIran, Kuwait neQatar, nedzimwe nzvimbo dzekuMiddle East dziri kushanda zvishoma. Izvi zvakatoderedza kuburitswa kwe ethylene munharaunda nemamiriyoni gumi nemashanu ematani.
Middle East ine matani angangoita mamiriyoni makumi matatu nemashanu e ethylene, ayo matani angangoita mamiriyoni matanhatu ari kunze kwePersian Gulf. Izvi zvinosiyaMatani mamiriyoni makumi maviri nemapfumbamwe e ethylene inogadzirwa muGulf akaonekwa zvakanangakupa zvinokanganisa.
Kushomeka kwezvekudya kwakapararira kure neGulf. Kushomeka kwemafuta emugungwa nemafuta asina kubikwa kwakamanikidza nzvimbo dzemafuta muAsia yose kuderedza huwandu hwemafuta anoshandiswa. "Inopfuura hafu yehuwandu hwemafuta pasi rose yakakanganiswa," akadaro Hart. Kuwedzera kune matani mamiriyoni makumi maviri nemapfumbamwe akakanganiswa muGulf, kupwanywa kwemafuta emugungwa kwakakanganisa matani mamiriyoni zana nemashanu emafuta e ethylene muAsia.
Kusiya nharaunda yeGulf, Hart anofungidziraMatani mamiriyoni 7–8 ekugadzirwa kwe ethylene pasi rosezvicharasika gore rino nekuda kwemhando dzezvinhu zvinotengeswa. Data rinoratidza kuti kugadzirwa kwe ethylene pasi rose kwakasvika matani mamiriyoni zana nemakumi masere nemashanu muna 2025, uye huwandu hwese hwematani hunosvika mamiriyoni mazana maviri nemakumi matatu nemaviri.
Kusawirirana uku kwakakanganisa zvakanyanya kutengeswa kwepolyethylene (PE) ne ethylene glycol (EG) kuMiddle East kuenda kuAsia, zvichikonzera kutenderera kwemidziyo yepolyolefins, polyester nePET.
Kudiwa kwe ethylene kwenguva refu kuchiri kutarisirwa kukura, kunyange zvazvo kuchinonoka. Hart inofungidzira kuti mitengo yekushanda uye purofiti hazvizodzokeri zvizere kusvika pakutanga kusvika pakati pemakore a2030, apo kudiwa kwacho kunosvika pakuwedzera kwesimba idzva.
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-10-2026