Muna Mbudzi 2023, musika wePE wakachinja uye wakadzikira, nemaitiro asina simba. Chekutanga, kudiwa hakuna kusimba, uye kuwedzera kwemaodha matsva mumaindasitiri ezasi kune mashoma. Kugadzirwa kwemafirimu ezvekurima kwapinda mumwaka-wekutanga, uye mwero wekutanga wemabhizinesi ari pasi wakaderera. Mafungiro emusika haana kunaka, uye kushingairira kutenga kwekupedzisira hakuna kunaka. Vatengi vepasi vanoramba vakamirira nekuona mitengo yemusika, iyo inokanganisa ikozvino musika wekutumira kumhanya uye mafungiro. Chechipiri, kune zvakakwana zvekushandisa mudzimba, nekugadzirwa kwe22.4401 mamiriyoni ematani kubva munaJanuary kusvika munaOctober, kuwedzera kwe2.0123 mamiriyoni ematani kubva panguva imwechete gore rapera, kuwedzera kwe9.85%. Izvo zvese zvemukati zvemukati ndeye 33.4928 matani emamiriyoni, kuwedzera kwe1.9567 matani emamiriyoni kubva panguva imwecheteyo gore rapfuura, kuwedzera kwe6.20%. Pakupera kwemwedzi, pakanga paine kuwedzera kwekutarisisa kwemusika kumitengo yakaderera, uye vamwe vatengesi vakaratidza chimwe chinangwa chekuzadza nzvimbo dzavo pamazinga akaderera.
MunaDecember, misika yepasi rose yezvigadzirwa ichatarisana nekumanikidzwa kubva kune tarisiro yekuderera kwehupfumi hwepasi rose muna 2024. Pakupera kwegore, misika inochenjerera uye icharamba ichitarisa pakushanda kwenguva pfupi sekukurumidza uye nekukurumidza. Kunyangwe akawanda mabearish zvinhu senge kushaya simba kudiwa uye kushomeka kwemutengo wekutsigira, zvinotarisirwa kuti pachine nzvimbo yakaderera mumusika, uye kutarisisa kuchabhadharwa kune yenguva pfupi rebound poindi yemitengo.
Chekutanga, zvinodiwa zvinoramba zvisina simba uye manzwiro emusika haana kunaka. Kupinda muna Zvita, kudiwa kwekutengesa kunze kwezvinhu zveKisimusi uye firimu rekurongedza reGore Nyowani uye Mutambo Wechirimo zvicharatidzwa, nekusagadzikana kwakawanda. Pakupera kwegore, kudiwa kwese kucharamba kwakapfava, uye mafekitori ezasi anotarisirwa kudzikira mukugadzirwa. Mamwe mafekitori anogona kupinda muzororo nguva isati yakwana. Chechipiri, kugovera kunoramba kuchiwedzera. Pakupera kwaMbudzi, kuwanikwa kwemhando mbiri dzemafuta kwaive kwakakwira kupfuura nguva imwe chete gore rapfuura, uye chiteshi chengarava chaiwanzokwira. Pakupera kwegore, kunyange zvazvo US dollar exchange rate yakaderera, kudiwa mumusika weChina kwakanga kusina simba, uye nzvimbo ye arbitrage yakanga ishoma. Huwandu hwekupinza kwePE muna Zvita huchadzikira, uye hakuna akawanda mabhizinesi ekugadzirisa epamba. Zviwanikwa zvemumba zvakawanda, uye zvemagariro evanhu zvinotarisirwa kugaya zvishoma nezvishoma. Chekupedzisira, rutsigiro rwemutengo haruna kukwana, uye musika wepasi rose wemafuta asina kuchena muna Zvita uchasangana nekumanikidzwa kubva mukudzikira kwehupfumi hwenyika hunotarisirwa muna 2024, nekudaro vachidzvinyirira maitiro emitengo yemafuta, uye mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena inogona kuratidza kudzikira.
Pakazere, hurombo hwehuwandu hwemabasa muUnited States hwakasimudza kushushikana pakati pevanoisa mari pamusoro pemamiriro ehupfumi uye maonero ekuda kwesimba, uye musika wepasi rose wezvigadzirwa uchasangana nekumanikidzwa kubva kune tarisiro yekudzikira kwekukura kwehupfumi hwenyika muna 2024 muna Zvita. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, kukura kwehupfumi hwepamba kwave kugadzikana, uye kurerutswa kwenjodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika kwakapa rutsigiro rweRMB exchange rate. Iko kudzokororwa kweRMB mari yekunze yekutengesa vhoriyamu inogona kunge yakawedzera kukoshesa kwazvino kweRMB. Iyo yenguva pfupi yekutenda maitiro eRMB inogona kuenderera, asi iyo isina kusimba kudiwa mumusika weChinese uye neyakaganhurirwa arbitrage nzvimbo haizounzi kudzvinyirira kwakawanda kune yepamba PE inopa.
Muna Zvita, kuchengetwa kwemidziyo nemabhizinesi emumba petrochemical kuchadzikira, uye kudzvanywa kwekupihwa kwepamba kuchawedzera. Iko kudiwa mumusika weChinese hakuna kusimba, uye nzvimbo yearbitrage ishoma. Pakupera kwegore, zvinotarisirwa kuti huwandu hwekunze huchachinja zvakanyanya, saka huwandu hwese hwekushandisa mudzimba hucharamba hwakanyanya. Iko kudiwa kwemusika kuri muchikamu che-off-season, uye kuunganidzwa kwemaodha epasi kuri kudzikira zvakanyanya, nekusimbisa kwakawanda pakuzadza kudiwa kwakakosha. Muna Zvita, musika wepasi rose wezvigadzirwa uchasangana nekumanikidzwa kubva mukuderera kunotarisirwa mukukura kwehupfumi hwenyika muna 2024. Kubva pakuongorora kwakadzama, musika wepolyethylene wakaramba usina simba uye usingaiti muna Zvita, paine mukana wekuderera kushoma pakati pemutengo. Tichifunga nezverutsigiro rwakasimba rwemitemo yemumba uye kuderera kunoramba kuripo kwemitengo, vatengesi vane imwe nhanho yekuzadzazve kudiwa, izvo zvinoita kuti zviome kuumba unilateral yakaderera maitiro kutsigira musika. Mushure mekuderera kwemutengo, pane tarisiro yekudzorera uye kugadzirisa. Pasi pemamiriro ekuwedzera, kureba kwepamusoro kunogumira, uye mutsara mukuru ndeye 7800-8400 yuan/ton. Muchidimbu, pakanga paine zvakakwana zvemumba muna Zvita, asi pakanga pachine kudiwa kwakasimba. Patakapinda muchikamu chekupera kwegore, musika wakatarisana nekumanikidzwa kuti udzore mari uye kudiwa kwese kwanga kusiri kukwana. Nekuchenjerera kutsigirwa mukushanda, maitiro emusika anogona kunge asina simba. Nekudaro, mushure mekuramba kuderera, panogona kuve nekuratidzwa kwekudzika nhanho yekuzadzazve, uye diki rebound rinogona kuramba richitarisirwa.
Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-11-2023