Mugore ra2023, nekuda kwekuderera kwekudiwa kwezvinhu munzvimbo dzakasiyana siyana, musika wepasi rose wepolyvinyl chloride (PVC) uchiri kutarisana nekusava nechokwadi. Munguva yakawanda yegore ra2022, mitengo yePVC muAsia neUnited States yakaratidza kudzikira kukuru uye yakaderera isati yapinda mugore ra2023. Mugore ra2023, pakati penzvimbo dzakasiyana, mushure mekunge China yagadzirisa mitemo yayo yekudzivirira nekudzora denda, musika unotarisira kupindura; United States inogona kuwedzera mitengo yemubereko kuitira kurwisa inflation uye kuderedza kudiwa kwePVC yemuno muUnited States. Asia, inotungamirwa neChina, neUnited States dzakawedzera kutengeswa kwePVC kunze kwenyika pakati pekushaikwa kwezvinodiwa pasi rose. Kana iri Europe, dunhu iri richatarisana nedambudziko remitengo yemagetsi yakakwira uye kudzikira kweinflation, uye pamwe hapazovi nekudzoreredzwa kwenguva refu kwepurofiti yeindasitiri.
Europe yakatarisana nedambudziko rekudzikira kwehupfumi
Vatori vechikamu mumusika vanotarisira kuti maonero emusika weEurope we caustic soda nePVC muna 2023 achaenderana nekuoma kwehupfumi uye kukanganisa kwahwo pakudiwa. Muchikamu cheindasitiri ye chlor-alkali, purofiti yevagadziri inokonzereswa nekuenzana pakati pe caustic soda nePVC resin, uko chigadzirwa chimwe chinogona kutsiva kurasikirwa nechimwe. Muna 2021, zvigadzirwa zvese zvichave zvichidiwa zvakanyanya, PVC ichinyanya kudiwa. Asi muna 2022, kudiwa kwePVC kwakadzikira sezvo kugadzirwa kwe chlor-alkali kwakamanikidzwa kuderedza mutoro pakati pemitengo ye caustic soda yakakwira nekuda kwekuoma kwehupfumi uye mitengo yemagetsi yakakwira. Matambudziko ekugadzirwa kwegasi re chlorine akakonzera kushomeka kwe caustic soda, zvichikwezva huwandu hwakawanda hweodha dzezvinhu zvemuUS, zvichisundira mitengo yekutengeswa kunze kwenyika yeUS padanho rayo repamusoro kubva muna 2004. Panguva imwe chete, mitengo yePVC yakaderera zvakanyanya muEurope, asi icharamba iri pakati peyakakwira pasi rose kusvika pakupera kwa2022.
Vatori vechikamu mumusika vanotarisira kusasimba kwakawanda mumisika yeEurope ye caustic soda nePVC muhafu yekutanga ya2023, sezvo kudiwa kwevatengi kuchidzikiswa nekukwira kwemitengo. Mumwe mutengesi wecaustic soda akati muna Mbudzi 2022: "Mitengo yakakwira yecaustic soda iri kukonzera kuparadzwa kwekuda." Zvisinei, vamwe vatengesi vakati misika yecaustic soda nePVC ichagara yakajairika muna 2023, uye vagadziri vekuEurope vanogona kubatsirwa munguva ino.
Kuderera kwezvinodiwa neUS kwawedzera kutengeswa kwezvinhu kunze kwenyika
Mugore ra2023, vagadziri ve chlor-alkali vakabatana muUS vacharamba vaine mabasa akawanda uye vacharamba vaine mitengo yakasimba ye caustic soda, nepo mitengo isina kusimba yePVC uye kudiwa kunotarisirwa kuramba kuripo, masosi emusika akadaro. Kubva muna Chivabvu 2022, mutengo wePVC wekutengesera kunze kwenyika muUnited States waderera neinenge 62%, nepo mutengo we caustic soda wekutengesera kunze kwenyika wakakwira neinenge 32% kubva muna Chivabvu kusvika Mbudzi 2022, uye wakatanga kudzikira. Kugona kwe caustic soda muUS kwaderera ne9% kubvira munaKurume 2021, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekudzima kweOlin, izvo zvakatsigirawo mitengo yakasimba ye caustic soda. Mugore ra2023, simba remitengo ye caustic soda richadzikirawo, kunyangwe mwero wekuderera ungave unononoka.
Westlake Chemical, imwe yemakambani anogadzira PVC resin muUS, yakaderedzawo mutoro wayo wekugadzira uye yakawedzera kutengeswa kwezvinhu kunze kwenyika nekuda kwekushomeka kwezvinodiwa zvepurasitiki inogara kwenguva refu. Kunyange hazvo kudzikira kwemitengo yemubereko muUS kuchigona kukonzera kuwedzera kwezvinodiwa zvemuno, vatori vechikamu mumusika vanoti kudzoreredzwa kwepasi rose kunoenderana nekuti zvinodiwa zvemuno muChina zvichadzokazve here.
Tarisa pane mukana wekudzoreredza kudiwa kwemari muChina
Musika weAsian PVC ungangodzoka patsva kutanga kwa2023, asi masosi emusika anoti kudzokororwa kwemitengo kucharamba kuripo kana kudiwa kweChina kukasadzoka zvizere. Mitengo yePVC muAsia ichadzikira zvakanyanya muna 2022, nemitengo yakaderera muna Zvita wegore iroro kubva muna Chikumi 2020. Mitengo iyoyo inoita kunge yakakurudzira kutenga zvinhu zvitsva, zvichiwedzera tarisiro yekuti kuderera kwemitengo kunogona kunge kwadzikira, masosi emusika akadaro.
Mashoko aya akataurawo kuti kana tichienzanisa negore ra2022, huwandu hwePVC muAsia muna 2023 hunogona kuramba huri padanho rakaderera, uye huwandu hwezvinhu zvinotengeswa huchadzikira nekuda kwekukanganiswa kwekugadzirwa kwezvinhu. Mashoko ekutengeserana anotarisira kuti kuyerera kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa nePVC zvinobva kuUS kuenda kuAsia kuchaderera kutanga kwa2023. Zvisinei, mashoko eUS akati kana kudiwa kweChina kukawedzera, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwemitengo yezvinhu zvinotengeswa nePVC kubva kuChina, zvinogona kukonzera kuwedzera kwemitengo inotengeswa neUS.
Zvichienderana nedata rezvemitero, zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwePVC neChina zvakasvika matani 278,000 muna Kubvumbi 2022. Zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwePVC neChina zvinodzikira gare gare muna 2022, sezvo mitengo yekutengeswa kunze kwePVC neUS ichidzikira, ukuwo mitengo yePVC yeAsia ichidzikira uye mitengo yekutakura zvinhu ichidzikira, nokudaro zvichidzoreredza kukwikwidzana kwepasi rose kwePVC yeAsia. Kubva muna Gumiguru 2022, huwandu hwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwePVC neChina hwaive matani 96,600, huwandu hwakaderera kubva muna Nyamavhuvhu 2021. Mamwe masosi emusika wekuAsia akati kudiwa kweChina kuchadzoka muna 2023 sezvo nyika ichigadzirisa matanho ayo ekudzivirira denda. Kune rumwe rutivi, nekuda kwemitengo yakakwira yekugadzira, mwero wekushanda kwemafekitori ePVC eChina wadzikira kubva pa70% kusvika pa56% pakupera kwa2022.
Nguva yekutumira: Kukadzi-14-2023